Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 2.083662 2.386702 2.709829 3.079067 3.488333 3.927085 4.432013
2024-12-29 1.584310 2.011632 2.504921 3.111880 3.833731 4.659778 5.671242
2025-01-05 1.255672 1.750062 2.362427 3.165379 4.178102 5.399990 6.971335
2025-01-12 0.984101 1.497501 2.176279 3.118762 4.370301 5.950339 8.067566
2025-01-19 0.818397 1.347802 2.089345 3.171132 4.671449 6.637872 9.362377
2025-01-26 0.688121 1.221017 2.008584 3.210251 4.942563 7.288731 10.634413
2025-02-02 0.588573 1.120539 1.946932 3.260450 5.220678 7.953329 11.949059
2025-02-09 0.495505 1.012397 1.855967 3.251012 5.402765 8.485032 13.098264
2025-02-16 0.411279 0.902941 1.746014 3.195680 5.504265 8.898128 14.090849
2025-02-23 0.356563 0.835954 1.695422 3.225137 5.729958 9.495498 15.366095
2025-03-02 0.300051 0.754396 1.607919 3.182048 5.833576 9.910192 16.385774
2025-03-09 0.263713 0.706193 1.572698 3.221270 6.066869 10.526607 17.723927
2025-03-16 0.224498 0.645598 1.509310 3.209572 6.223007 11.043845 18.956071
2025-03-23 0.205090 0.625995 1.522879 3.337987 6.623873 11.967073 20.853863
2025-03-30 0.184863 0.600272 1.520742 3.436414 6.978605 12.832549 22.697012
2025-04-06 0.156298 0.546967 1.453907 3.404402 7.100711 13.324060 23.968831
2025-04-13 0.139044 0.519246 1.437744 3.468426 7.396177 14.111442 25.739044
2025-04-20 0.122733 0.490038 1.413962 3.513883 7.658599 14.852409 27.458371
2025-04-27 0.109091 0.465116 1.396340 3.569383 7.941160 15.636974 29.273603
2025-05-04 0.093734 0.430442 1.350298 3.559850 8.098345 16.210247 30.756828
2025-05-11 0.078272 0.390392 1.284600 3.500527 8.153846 16.605811 31.953360
2025-05-18 0.068828 0.368369 1.261460 3.532368 8.388160 17.323789 33.714625
2025-05-25 0.057778 0.336328 1.206530 3.486006 8.461856 17.755020 34.997415